Blar i NORCE vitenarkiv på forfatter "Goelzer, Heiko"
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Benchmarking the vertically integrated ice-sheet model IMAU-ICE (version 2.0)
Berends, Constantijn J.; Goelzer, Heiko; Reerink, Thomas J.; Stap, Lennert; van de Wal, Roderik S.W. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)Ice-dynamical processes constitute a large uncertainty in future projections of sea-level rise caused by anthropogenic climate change. Improving our understanding of these processes requires ice-sheet models that perform ... -
Correlations Between Sea‐Level Components Are Driven by Regional Climate Change
Lambert, Erwin; Le Bars, Dewi; Goelzer, Heiko; van de Wal, Roderik S.W. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)The accurate quantification of uncertainties in regional sea-level projections is essential for guiding policy makers. As climate models do not currently simulate total sea level, these uncertainties must be quantified ... -
Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models
Nowicki, Sophie; Goelzer, Heiko; Seroussi, Hélène; Payne, Anthony J.; Lipscomb, William H.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Alexander, Patrick; Asay-Davis, Xylar S; Barthel, Alice; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Cullather, Richard; Felikson, Denis; Fettweis, Xavier; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Hattermann, Tore; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Munneke, Peter Kuipers; Larour, Eric; Little, Christopher M.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Nias, Isabel; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Slater, Donald; Smith, Robin; Straneo, Fiammetta; Trusel, Luke D.; van den Broeke, Michiel R.; Van de Wal, Roderik (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)Abstract. Projection of the contribution of ice sheets to sea level change as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) takes the form of simulations from coupled ice sheet–climate models and ... -
Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets
Payne, Antony; Nowicki, Sophie; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Alexander, Patrick; Albrecht, Torsten; Asay-Davis, Xylar; Aschwanden, Andy; Barthel, Alice; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Calov, Reinhard; Chambers, Christopher; Choi, Youngmin; Cullather, Richard; Cuzzone, Joshua; Dumas, Christophe; Edwards, Tamsin L.; Felikson, Denis; Fettweis, Xavier; Galton-Fenzi, Benjamin K.; Goelzer, Heiko; Gladstone, Rupert; Golledge, Nicholas R.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Greve, Ralf; Hattermann, Tore; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Humbert, Angelika; Huybrechts, Philippe; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Kleiner, Thomas; Munneke, Peter Kuipers; Larour, Eric; Le clec'h, Sebastien; Lee, Victoria; Leguy, Gunter; Lipscomb, William H.; Little, Christopher M.; Lowry, Daniel P.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Nias, Isabel; Pattyn, Frank; Pelle, Tyler; Price, Stephen F.; Quiquet, Aurélien; Reese, Ronja; Rückamp, Martin; Schlege, Nicole-Jeanne; Seroussi, Hélène; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Slater, Donald; Smith, Robin S.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Sun, Sainan; Tarasov, Lev; Truse, Luke D.; Van Breedam, Jonas; van de Wal, Roderik; van den Broeke, Michiel; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Zhao, Chen; Zhang, Tong; Zwinger, Thomas (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled ... -
GrSMBMIP: intercomparison of the modelled 1980-2012 surface mass balance over the Greenland Ice Sheet
Fettweis, Xavier; Hofer, Stefan; Krebs-Kanzow, Uta; Amory, Charles; Aoki, Teruo; Berends, Constantijn J.; Born, Andreas; Box, Jason E.; Delhasse, Alison; Fujita, Koji; Gierz, Paul; Goelzer, Heiko; Hanna, Edward; Hashimoto, Akihiro; Huybrechts, Philippe; Kapsch, Marie-Luise; King, Michaela D.; Kittel, Christoph; Lang, Charlotte; Langen, Peter L.; Lenaerts, Jan T.M.; Liston, Glen E.; Lohmann, Gerrit; Mernild, Jacob Sebastian Haugaard; Mikolajewicz, Uwe; Modali, Kameswarrao; Mottram, Ruth H.; Niwano, Masashi; Noël, Brice; Ryan, Jonathan C.; Smith, Amy; Streffing, Jan; Tedesco, Marco; Van de Berg, Willem Jan; Van den Broeke, Michiel; Van de Wal, Rodecrick S.; Von Kampenhout, Leo; Wilton, David; Wouters, Bert; Ziemen, Florian; Zolles, Tobias (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)Observations and models agree that the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) surface mass balance (SMB) has decreased since the end of the 1990s due to an increase in meltwater runoff and that this trend will accelerate in the future. ... -
A high-end estimate of sea-level rise for practitioners
van de Wal, Roderik S.W.; Nicholls, Robert J.; Behar, David; McInnes, K.; Stammer, Detlef; Lowe, Jason A.; Church, John A.; DeConto, Robert M.; Fettweis, Xavier; Goelzer, Heiko; Haasnoot, M.; Haigh, I.; Hinkel, Jochen; Horton, Ben; James, T.S.; Jenkins, Adrian; LeCozannet, G.; Levermann, Anders; Lipscomb, William H.; Marzeion, Ben; Pattyn, Frank; Payne, Anthony J.; Pfeffer, Ted; Price, S.; Seroussi, Hélène; Sun, Sainan; Veatch, W.; White, K. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)Sea level rise (SLR) is a long-lasting consequence of climate change because global anthropogenic warming takes centuries to millennia to equilibrate for the deep ocean and ice sheets. SLR projections based on climate ... -
Improving interpretation of sea-level projections through a machine-learning-based local explanation approach
Rohmer, Jeremy; Thiéblemont, Rémi; Le Cozannet, G.; Goelzer, Heiko; Durand, Gaël (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)Process-based projections of the sea-level contribution from land ice components are often obtained from simulations using a complex chain of numerical models. Because of their importance in supporting the decision-making ... -
Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty
Seroussi, Hélène; Verjans, Vincent; Nowicki, Sophie; Payne, Antony J.; Goelzer, Heiko; Lipscomb, William H.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Albrecht, Torsten; Asay-Davis, Xylar S; Barthel, Alice; Calov, Reinhard; Cullather, Richard; Dumas, Christophe; Galton-Fenzi, Benjamin K.; Gladstone, Rupert; Golledge, Nicholas R.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Greve, Ralf; Hattermann, Tore; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Humbert, Angelika; Huybrechts, Philippe; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Kleiner, Thomas; Larour, Eric; Leguy, Gunter; Lowry, Daniel P.; Little, Christopher M.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Pattyn, Frank; Pelle, Tyler; Price, Stephen F.; Quiquet, Aurélien; Reese, Ronja; Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Smith, Robin S.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Sun, Sainan; Trusel, Luke D.; Van Breedam, Jonas; Van Katwyk, Peter; van de Wal, Roderik S.W.; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Zhao, Chen; Zhang, Tong; Zwinger, Thomas (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)The Antarctic Ice Sheet represents the largest source of uncertainty in future sea level rise projections, with a contribution to sea level by 2100 ranging from −5 to 43 cm of sea level equivalent under high carbon emission ... -
Process-based estimate of global-mean sea-level changes in the Common Era
Gangadharan, Nidheesh; Goosse, Hugues; Parkes, David C.; Goelzer, Heiko; Maussion, Fabien; Marzeion, Ben (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)Although the global-mean sea level (GMSL) rose over the twentieth century with a positive contribution from thermosteric and barystatic (ice sheets and glaciers) sources, the driving processes of GMSL changes during the ... -
Snowball Earth Bifurcations in a Fully-Implicit Earth System Model
Mulder, Thomas E.; Goelzer, Heiko; Wubs, Fred W.; Dijkstra, Henk A. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)There is now much geological evidence that the Earth was fully glaciated during several periods in the geological past (about 700Myr ago) and attained a so-called Snowball Earth (SBE) state. Additional support for this ... -
The Utrecht Finite Volume Ice-Sheet Model: UFEMISM (version 1.0)
Berends, Constantijn J.; Goelzer, Heiko; van de Wal, Roderik S.W. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)Improving our confidence in future projections of sea-level rise requires models that can simulate ice-sheet evolution both in the future and in the geological past. A physically accurate treatment of large changes in ...